How Tennessee has voted since 1960

Tennessee has 11 electoral votes in 2028. Since 1960 it has voted Democratic 4 times and Republican 13 times. It has backed the national winner in 13 of 17 elections. Donald Trump carried it in 2024 by 29.7 points, 28.3 points more Republican than the nation. In 2024, 57.9% of its eligible voters cast a ballot, ranking 45th among the 50 states and DC (nationally, 64.3%). It has voted Republican in every election since 2000. Its closest result was in 1980, when Ronald Reagan won it by 4,710 votes.

  1. 1960Nixon+7.2
  2. 1964Johnson+11.0
  3. 1968Nixon+9.7
  4. 1972Nixon+38.0
  5. 1976Carter+13.0
  6. 1980Reagan+0.3
  7. 1984Reagan+16.3
  8. 1988Bush+16.3
  9. 1992Clinton+4.7
  10. 1996Clinton+2.4
  11. 2000Bush+3.9
  12. 2004Bush+14.3
  13. 2008McCain+15.1
  14. 2012Romney+20.4
  15. 2016Trump+26.0
  16. 2020Trump+23.2
  17. 2024Trump+29.7

Each box is one election: the winner in Tennessee and the margin in points. Darker boxes were won by 10 points or more, lighter by under 5.

Election night

8 p.m. ET

Polls close at 8 p.m. ET. Polls in the Eastern and Central Time parts of the state close at the same moment (8 p.m. Eastern, 7 p.m. Central).

Also closing at 8 p.m. ET: AL, CT, DE, DC, IL, KS, ME, MD, MA, MI, MS, MO, NH, NJ, ND, OK, PA, RI, SD, TX.

Times from the 2024 general election; states rarely change them, and they will be confirmed for 2028.

2028 ratings

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In Congress

Senate

House: 8 Republicans, 1 Democrat

All 9 members
  1. 1 Diana Harshbarger (R)
  2. 2 Tim Burchett (R)
  3. 3 Charles J. "Chuck" Fleischmann (R)
  4. 4 Scott DesJarlais (R)
  5. 5 Andrew Ogles (R)
  6. 6 John W. Rose (R)
  7. 7 Matt Van Epps (R)
  8. 8 David Kustoff (R)
  9. 9 Steve Cohen (D)

From Congress.gov, as of Oct. 19, 2026. Vacant seats are not listed.

Margin by election

Tennessee margin by electionBars show the Democratic or Republican margin in Tennessee in each election since 1960; the line shows the national popular-vote margin. The table below has every figure.R+40R+30R+20R+10EvenD+10D+20D+30D+401960: R+7.2 (nation D+0.2)'601964: D+11.0 (nation D+22.6)'641968: R+9.7 (nation R+0.7)'681972: R+38.0 (nation R+23.2)'721976: D+13.0 (nation D+2.1)'761980: R+0.3 (nation R+9.7)'801984: R+16.3 (nation R+18.2)'841988: R+16.3 (nation R+7.7)'881992: D+4.7 (nation D+5.6)'921996: D+2.4 (nation D+8.5)'962000: R+3.9 (nation D+0.5)'002004: R+14.3 (nation R+2.5)'042008: R+15.1 (nation D+7.3)'082012: R+20.4 (nation D+3.9)'122016: R+26.0 (nation D+2.1)'162020: R+23.2 (nation D+4.5)'202024: R+29.7 (nation R+1.5)'24

Tennessee margin National popular vote

By county

Donald Trump won 92 of Tennessee's 95 counties in 2024; Kamala Harris won 3.

Loading the county map…

Largest counties, 2024

CountyVotesMarginShift from 2020
Shelby County326,497D+25.4→R 5.1
Davidson County290,036D+27.4→R 4.7
Knox County221,864R+19.5→R 4.5
Hamilton County174,438R+13.0→R 3.4
Rutherford County147,656R+21.8→R 6.4
Williamson County144,668R+32.4→R 6.3
Sumner County97,761R+41.8→R 3.2
Montgomery County81,755R+18.4→R 5.8
Wilson County81,254R+40.1→R 2.4
Sullivan County75,541R+55.0→R 3.1

Biggest shifts from 2020 to 2024: toward the Republican, Trousdale County (10.8), Clay County (9.6), Lauderdale County (9.4); toward the Democrat, Carter County (1.8), Cumberland County (1.8), Cheatham County (1.9) — in points of margin.

County returns from the MIT Election Data and Science Lab (official state data), 2000–2024. Margin is the Democrat's share minus the Republican's, of all votes cast.

Results by year

YearWinnerDemocratRepublicanOtherMarginNationTurnoutEV
2024 Donald TrumpTrumpHarris 34.5%1,056,265Trump 64.2%1,966,8651.3%R+29.7R+1.557.9%11
2020 Donald TrumpTrump lostBiden 37.5%1,143,711Trump 60.7%1,852,4751.9%R+23.2D+4.559.2%11
2016 Donald TrumpTrumpClinton 34.7%870,695Trump 60.7%1,522,9254.6%R+26.0D+2.151.9%11
2012 Mitt RomneyRomney lostObama 39.1%960,709Romney 59.5%1,462,3301.4%R+20.4D+3.952.4%11
2008 John McCainMcCain lostObama 41.8%1,087,437McCain 56.9%1,479,1781.3%R+15.1D+7.357.4%11
2004 George W. BushBushKerry 42.5%1,036,477Bush 56.8%1,384,3750.7%R+14.3R+2.556.8%11
2000 George W. BushBushGore 47.3%981,720Bush 51.2%1,061,9491.6%R+3.9D+0.550.4%11
1996 Bill ClintonClintonClinton 48.0%909,146Dole 45.6%863,530Perot 5.6%D+2.4D+8.547.5%11
1992 Bill ClintonClintonClinton 47.1%933,521Bush 42.4%841,300Perot 10.1%D+4.7D+5.653.2%11
1988 George H.W. BushBushDukakis 41.6%679,794Bush 57.9%947,2330.6%R+16.3R+7.746.1%11
1984 Ronald ReaganReaganMondale 41.6%711,714Reagan 57.8%990,2120.6%R+16.3R+18.250.1%11
1980 Ronald ReaganReaganCarter 48.4%783,051Reagan 48.7%787,7612.9%R+0.3R+9.749.2%10
1976 Jimmy CarterCarterCarter 55.9%825,879Ford 42.9%633,9691.1%D+13.0D+2.1—10
1972 Richard NixonNixonMcGovern 29.8%Nixon 67.7%2.6%R+38.0R+23.2—10
1968 Richard NixonNixonHumphrey 28.1%Nixon 37.9%Wallace 34.0%R+9.7R+0.7—11
1964 Lyndon B. JohnsonJohnsonJohnson 55.5%Goldwater 44.5%0.0%D+11.0D+22.6—11
1960 Richard NixonNixon lostKennedy 45.8%Nixon 52.9%1.3%R+7.2D+0.2—11

Margin is the Democrat's share minus the Republican's, in percentage points; Nation is the same for the national popular vote. "Other" is everyone else combined, or the leading third-party candidate where one took 5% or more. Vote counts from 1976. Turnout is ballots cast as a share of eligible voters, from 1980 (UF Election Lab; the newest year is preliminary).

Electoral votes

Electoral votes change after each census, when House seats are reapportioned.

  • 1119601950 census
  • 111964–19681960 census
  • 101972–19801970 census
  • 111984–19881980 census
  • 111992–20001990 census
  • 112004–20082000 census
  • 112012–20202010 census
  • 112024–20282020 census
  • 112032–2040projected

Projected: Tennessee's share of House seats after the 2030 census if each state's population keeps changing at its pace since 2020, from the Census Bureau's 2024 American Community Survey population estimates (July 1, 2024). If the count were taken today it would have 11. An estimate, not a forecast.

Before 1960

Tennessee cast electoral votes in 40 presidential elections before 1960, the first in 1796. It backed the eventual president in 25 of them. It cast no electoral votes in 1864.

YearCarried byElectorsMarginBacked winner
1956Dwight D. Eisenhower Republican11+0.6✓
1952Dwight D. Eisenhower Republican11+0.3✓
1948Harry S. Truman DemocraticSplit: Truman 11, Thurmond 112+12.3✓
1944Franklin D. Roosevelt Democratic12+21.3✓
1940Franklin D. Roosevelt Democratic11+35.0✓
1936Franklin D. Roosevelt Democratic11+38.1✓
1932Franklin D. Roosevelt Democratic11+34.4✓
1928Herbert Hoover Republican12+7.7✓
1924John W. Davis Democratic12+9.2–
1920Warren G. Harding Republican12+3.0✓
1916Woodrow Wilson Democratic12+13.8✓
1912Woodrow Wilson Democratic12+28.9✓
1908William Jennings Bryan Democratic12+7.0–
1904Alton B. Parker Democratic12+11.1–
1900William Jennings Bryan Democratic12+8.2–
1896William Jennings Bryan Democratic-Populist12+5.9–
1892Grover Cleveland Democratic12+13.8✓
1888Grover Cleveland Democratic12+6.5–
1884Grover Cleveland Democratic12+3.7✓
1880Winfield S. Hancock Democratic12+9.2–
1876Samuel J. Tilden Democratic12+19.6–
1872Horace Greeley Liberal Republican and Democratic12+4.3–
1868Ulysses S. Grant Republican10+36.9✓
1860John Bell Constitutional Union12+3.2–
1856James Buchanan Democratic12+4.4✓
1852Winfield Scott Whig12+1.5–
1848Zachary Taylor Whig13+5.0✓
1844Henry Clay Whig13+0.1–
1840William Henry Harrison Whig15+11.3✓
1836Hugh Lawson White Whig15+15.8–
1832Andrew Jackson Democratic15+90.8✓
1828Andrew Jackson Democratic11+90.4✓
1824Andrew Jackson Democratic-Republican11+95.9–
1820James Monroe Democratic-Republican7—✓
1816James Monroe Democratic-Republican8—✓
1812James Madison Democratic-Republican8—✓
1808James Madison Democratic-Republican5—✓
1804Thomas Jefferson Democratic-Republican5—✓
1800Thomas Jefferson Democratic-RepublicanVotes (two per elector): Jefferson 3, Burr 33—✓
1796Thomas Jefferson Democratic-RepublicanVotes (two per elector): Jefferson 3, Burr 33—–

Margin: the winner's lead over the runner-up in the state's popular vote, in points. A dash means the legislature chose the electors (common before the 1830s) or no popular vote is on record. Each year links to that election's map and full results.