2028 Electoral Map

The Initial 2028 Battleground

For now, the road to the White House in 2028 begins with seven battleground states: Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.

Those are the same swing states for the last two elections. We’ll wait for the results of the 2026 midterm elections to reassess the political environment.

Together, they hold 93 electoral votes—enough to decide which party reaches the 270 needed to win.

This is a starting point for exploring the race, not a prediction. The battleground could expand or shift as candidates emerge and the campaign develops.

Holding those starting assumptions constant, Democrats could reach exactly 270 by winning Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. Republicans could reach exactly 270 by winning Georgia, North Carolina and Pennsylvania.

Click any state to explore your own scenarios, then share your map.

We’ll revisit the battleground as the race takes shape and explain the reasoning behind each change.