Projected Electoral Votes for 2032
If population keeps changing at its current pace, 13 electoral votes would move between states after the 2030 census, in time for the 2032 election.
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| State | Now (2020 census) | If counted today | 2032, at current pace |
|---|---|---|---|
| Florida | 30 | 32 +2 | 34 +4 |
| Texas | 40 | 42 +2 | 44 +4 |
| Arizona | 11 | 12 +1 | 12 +1 |
| Georgia | 16 | 16 — | 17 +1 |
| Idaho | 4 | 5 +1 | 5 +1 |
| North Carolina | 16 | 16 — | 17 +1 |
| Utah | 6 | 6 — | 7 +1 |
| Minnesota | 10 | 9 −1 | 9 −1 |
| Oregon | 8 | 7 −1 | 7 −1 |
| Pennsylvania | 19 | 19 — | 18 −1 |
| Rhode Island | 4 | 4 — | 3 −1 |
| Wisconsin | 10 | 10 — | 9 −1 |
| Illinois | 19 | 18 −1 | 17 −2 |
| New York | 28 | 27 −1 | 26 −2 |
| California | 54 | 52 −2 | 50 −4 |
Closest to the line (2030 pace)
Last seats awarded
- Georgia seat 435 of 435
- Michigan seat 434 of 435
- North Carolina seat 433 of 435
- Alabama seat 432 of 435
- Louisiana seat 431 of 435
Next in line
- Illinois short by about 93,000 people
- Texas short by about 299,000 people
- California short by about 365,000 people
- Tennessee short by about 77,000 people
- Wisconsin short by about 65,000 people
Source: the Census Bureau's 2024 American Community Survey population estimates (July 1, 2024) and the 2020 census, via the Census Bureau's API. "If counted today" apportions the House on the latest estimates; "at current pace" continues each state's growth since 2020 to April 2030. Seats are divided by the method the Census Bureau uses (equal proportions); a state's electoral votes are its House seats plus two. Estimates, not a forecast — the 2030 count will differ.