How Arizona has voted since 1960

Arizona has 11 electoral votes in 2028, and at the current pace of population change it would gain one electoral vote after the 2030 census. Since 1960 it has voted Democratic twice and Republican 15 times. It has backed the national winner in 11 of 17 elections. Donald Trump carried it in 2024 by 5.5 points, 4.1 points more Republican than the nation. In 2024, 63.9% of its eligible voters cast a ballot, ranking 31st among the 50 states and DC (nationally, 64.3%). It last voted Democratic in 2020, for Joe Biden. Its closest result was in 2020, when Joe Biden won it by 10,457 votes.

  1. 1960Nixon+11.2
  2. 1964Goldwater+1.0
  3. 1968Nixon+19.8
  4. 1972Nixon+31.3
  5. 1976Ford+16.6
  6. 1980Reagan+32.4
  7. 1984Reagan+33.9
  8. 1988Bush+21.2
  9. 1992Bush+2.0
  10. 1996Clinton+2.2
  11. 2000Bush+6.3
  12. 2004Bush+10.5
  13. 2008McCain+8.5
  14. 2012Romney+9.1
  15. 2016Trump+3.5
  16. 2020Biden+0.3
  17. 2024Trump+5.5

Each box is one election: the winner in Arizona and the margin in points. Darker boxes were won by 10 points or more, lighter by under 5.

Election night

9 p.m. ET

Polls close at 9 p.m. ET (7 p.m. Mountain).

Also closing at 9 p.m. ET: CO, IA, LA, MN, NE, NM, NY, WI, WY.

Times from the 2024 general election; states rarely change them, and they will be confirmed for 2028.

2028 ratings

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In Congress

Senate

House: 6 Republicans, 3 Democrats

All 9 members
  1. 1 David Schweikert (R)
  2. 2 Elijah Crane (R)
  3. 3 Yassamin Ansari (D)
  4. 4 Greg Stanton (D)
  5. 5 Andy Biggs (R)
  6. 6 Juan Ciscomani (R)
  7. 7 Adelita S. Grijalva (D)
  8. 8 Abraham J. Hamadeh (R)
  9. 9 Paul A. Gosar (R)

From Congress.gov, as of Sept. 28, 2026. Vacant seats are not listed.

Margin by election

Arizona margin by electionBars show the Democratic or Republican margin in Arizona in each election since 1960; the line shows the national popular-vote margin. The table below has every figure.R+40R+30R+20R+10EvenD+10D+20D+30D+401960: R+11.2 (nation D+0.2)'601964: R+1.0 (nation D+22.6)'641968: R+19.8 (nation R+0.7)'681972: R+31.3 (nation R+23.2)'721976: R+16.6 (nation D+2.1)'761980: R+32.4 (nation R+9.7)'801984: R+33.9 (nation R+18.2)'841988: R+21.2 (nation R+7.7)'881992: R+2.0 (nation D+5.6)'921996: D+2.2 (nation D+8.5)'962000: R+6.3 (nation D+0.5)'002004: R+10.5 (nation R+2.5)'042008: R+8.5 (nation D+7.3)'082012: R+9.1 (nation D+3.9)'122016: R+3.5 (nation D+2.1)'162020: D+0.3 (nation D+4.5)'202024: R+5.5 (nation R+1.5)'24

Arizona margin National popular vote

By county

Donald Trump won 11 of Arizona's 15 counties in 2024; Kamala Harris won 4.

Loading the county map…

Largest counties, 2024

CountyVotesMarginShift from 2020
Maricopa County2,061,574R+3.5→R 4.2
Pima County520,317D+14.9→D 8.7
Pinal County211,595R+21.9→R 16.1
Yavapai County150,862R+33.6→R 23.8
Mohave County111,355R+55.3→R 38.2
Coconino County70,993D+19.6→D 11.6
Yuma County68,910R+20.2→R 18.1
Cochise County59,501R+22.9→R 16.4
Navajo County51,386R+17.0→R 14.2
Apache County32,685D+18.6→D 7.4

Biggest shifts from 2020 to 2024: toward the Republican, Mohave County (38.2), Graham County (32.8), La Paz County (30.8); toward the Democrat, Coconino County (11.6), Pima County (8.7), Apache County (7.4) — in points of margin.

County returns from the MIT Election Data and Science Lab (official state data), 2000–2024. Margin is the Democrat's share minus the Republican's, of all votes cast.

Results by year

YearWinnerDemocratRepublicanOtherMarginNationTurnoutEV
2024 Donald TrumpTrumpHarris 46.7%1,582,860Trump 52.2%1,770,2421.1%R+5.5R+1.563.9%11
2020 Joe BidenBidenBiden 49.4%1,672,143Trump 49.1%1,661,6861.6%D+0.3D+4.566.6%11
2016 Donald TrumpTrumpClinton 45.1%1,161,167Trump 48.7%1,252,4016.2%R+3.5D+2.156.0%11
2012 Mitt RomneyRomney lostObama 44.6%1,025,232Romney 53.7%1,233,6541.8%R+9.1D+3.952.9%11
2008 John McCainMcCain lostObama 45.1%1,034,707McCain 53.6%1,230,1111.2%R+8.5D+7.357.3%10
2004 George W. BushBushKerry 44.4%893,524Bush 54.9%1,104,2940.7%R+10.5R+2.555.7%10
2000 George W. BushBushGore 44.7%685,341Bush 51.0%781,6524.3%R+6.3D+0.546.4%8
1996 Bill ClintonClintonClinton 46.5%653,288Dole 44.3%622,073Perot 8.0%D+2.2D+8.546.5%8
1992 George H.W. BushBush lostClinton 36.5%543,050Bush 38.5%572,086Perot 23.8%R+2.0D+5.656.8%8
1988 George H.W. BushBushDukakis 38.7%454,029Bush 60.0%702,5411.3%R+21.2R+7.749.1%7
1984 Ronald ReaganReaganMondale 32.5%333,854Reagan 66.4%681,4161.0%R+33.9R+18.248.9%7
1980 Ronald ReaganReaganCarter 28.2%246,843Reagan 60.6%529,688Anderson 8.8%R+32.4R+9.747.5%6
1976 Gerald FordFord lostCarter 39.8%295,602Ford 56.4%418,6423.8%R+16.6D+2.1—6
1972 Richard NixonNixonMcGovern 30.4%Nixon 61.6%8.0%R+31.3R+23.2—6
1968 Richard NixonNixonHumphrey 35.0%Nixon 54.8%Wallace 9.6%R+19.8R+0.7—5
1964 Barry GoldwaterGoldwater lostJohnson 49.5%Goldwater 50.5%0.1%R+1.0D+22.6—5
1960 Richard NixonNixon lostKennedy 44.4%Nixon 55.5%0.1%R+11.2D+0.2—4

Margin is the Democrat's share minus the Republican's, in percentage points; Nation is the same for the national popular vote. "Other" is everyone else combined, or the leading third-party candidate where one took 5% or more. Vote counts from 1976. Turnout is ballots cast as a share of eligible voters, from 1980 (UF Election Lab; the newest year is preliminary).

Electoral votes

Electoral votes change after each census, when House seats are reapportioned.

  • 419601950 census
  • 51964–19681960 census
  • 61972–19801970 census
  • 71984–19881980 census
  • 81992–20001990 census
  • 102004–20082000 census
  • 112012–20202010 census
  • 112024–20282020 census
  • 122032–2040projected

Projected: Arizona's share of House seats after the 2030 census if each state's population keeps changing at its pace since 2020, from the Census Bureau's 2024 American Community Survey population estimates (July 1, 2024). If the count were taken today it would have 12. An estimate, not a forecast.

Before 1960

Arizona cast electoral votes in 12 presidential elections before 1960, the first in 1912. It backed the eventual president in 12 of them.

YearCarried byElectorsMarginBacked winner
1956Dwight D. Eisenhower Republican4+22.1✓
1952Dwight D. Eisenhower Republican4+16.7✓
1948Harry S. Truman Democratic4+10.2✓
1944Franklin D. Roosevelt Democratic4+18.0✓
1940Franklin D. Roosevelt Democratic3+27.6✓
1936Franklin D. Roosevelt Democratic3+44.4✓
1932Franklin D. Roosevelt Democratic3+37.4✓
1928Herbert Hoover Republican3+15.4✓
1924Calvin Coolidge Republican3+5.8✓
1920Warren G. Harding Republican3+11.2✓
1916Woodrow Wilson Democratic3+23.6✓
1912Woodrow Wilson Democratic3+14.4✓

Margin: the winner's lead over the runner-up in the state's popular vote, in points. A dash means the legislature chose the electors (common before the 1830s) or no popular vote is on record. Each year links to that election's map and full results.