What If Maps

Blue Wall returns

Democrat 270 · Republican 268 Democrat wins

Democrats hold every state they won in 2024 and take back Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, the three states that decided 2016 and 2020. Everything else votes as it did in 2024.

Start from this map

Sun Belt swing

Democrat 275 · Republican 263 Democrat wins

Democrats flip Arizona, Georgia, Nevada and North Carolina but lose Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin again. Everything else votes as it did in 2024.

Start from this map

Seven battlegrounds

Democrat 226 · Republican 219 · 93 toss-up

Every state votes as it did in 2024 except the seven closest — Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin — which are left as toss-ups for you to decide.

Start from this map

Republicans expand the map

Democrat 192 · Republican 346 Republican wins

Republicans hold every state they won in 2024 and add Maine (statewide), Minnesota, New Hampshire, New Mexico and Virginia — states Democrats won by single digits.

Start from this map

A 269–269 tie

Democrat 269 · Republican 269

Arizona, Georgia and North Carolina flip from how they voted in 2024: of all the combinations of states Republicans carried that add up to exactly 43 electoral votes, these three had the smallest combined margin. Nobody reaches 270, so the House picks the president, one vote per state delegation.

Start from this map