Every time the Electoral College and the national popular vote point in different directions, as they did in 2000 and 2016, calls to abolish it grow louder. But the system has prominent defenders among legal scholars, […]
In the 2016 presidential election, there were ten states where the margin of victory for Donald Trump or Hillary Clinton was less than two percentage points. Combined, those states hold 125 electoral votes. Although the early […]
The 2020 U.S. Census will lead to the reapportionment of congressional districts. Since each state receives electoral votes based on the size of their congressional delegations, that means the electoral map will almost certainly change for […]
It’s obvious that the Electoral College distorts the popular vote in presidential elections, because small states get more votes than populous states. That’s because electoral votes are allocated to each state based on the number of […]
Many who dislike the winner-take-all Electoral College argue that its bias toward small states is unfair. That’s because each state is awarded electoral votes based on the number of representatives it has in the House, which […]
In 48 of the 50 states, presidential electors cast their votes for the winner of the state’s popular vote. Maine and Nebraska are the outliers to this winner-take-all approach and instead split their electoral votes. Both […]
The Republican presidential candidate won a majority in the Electoral College twice in the last five elections — in 2000 and 2016 — despite losing the popular vote. Could it get worse for Democrats in 2020? […]
When we forecast the 2020 electoral map based on the 2018 midterm election results, it becomes very clear that President Trump must wage a two-front war to win re-election in a new set of 2020 battleground […]